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| A Barbell Portfolio
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| In Spite of the Gods - By Edward Luce
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| Spotting the Recession
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| Recessionor a Mid-Cycle Slowdown? Does It Matter?
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| An Odd Banking Crisis
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| Five Corners - Volume 9 - Issue 8
| | Please find our latest Five Corners, where Louis looks at what could be the trigger for a run in Japan's market. Charles reworks his Velocity Indicator by setting shorter moving averages, and, in a separate piece, observes the dramatically different ways that the US and Europe are dealing with changing terms of trade. Steve follows on this theme with a look at how the US trade balance is responding to the weaker dollar; he also notes the positive earnings trend for US tech stocks. Ahmad examines vulnerabilities in the Gulf construction boom, while Steve Waite reviews The (Mis)Behavior of Markets, by Benoit Mandelbrot and Richard Hudson. |
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| Policy Makers Get Involved
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| A Surprise in Store for Euro Investors?
| | Anatole looks at why the Euro may fall from its perch |
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| On the Terms of Trade
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| Oil Demand--Where Is it Rising?
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| The Baltic Factor & Swedish Financials
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| A Roadmap for Troubling Times--by Louis-Vincent Gave
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| Lies, Damned Lies & House Price Statistics
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| The Next Shoe to Drop
| | Next headaches for EU - Rising deficits. |
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| Will Politics Constrain Oil Demand?
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| Jean-Claude Trichet's Chutzpah
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| The European Divergence Trade is Back On
| | After the Bear Stearns bailout, it did not make sense to buy default, because it seemed monetary authorities would not allow default. In recent weeks, however, European spreads have been widening again. |
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| Five Corners, Volume 9, Issue 14
| | Please see the latest edition of Five Corners, in which Anatole looks at whether Europe's economy is hitting the wall, and what this means for the Euro and European financial shares. Charles asks whether the collapse of an emerging market will be the next major event on the horizon. In a second piece, Charles notes that the US economy is quite diverse, and that some sectors are quite robust. Ahmad presents the results of a statistical analysis of 25 years of WTI crude oil futures trading - how accurate are the futures markets? And Louis reviews Joe Studwell's book on Asia's tycoon culture, "Asian Godfathers." |
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| Europe Hits the Wall
| | Anatole looks examines the economic latest data on Europe .. |
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| Locked and Loaded
| | Risk aversion at extremes .. |
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| Destiny Comes After the Third Knock
| | Is an emerging-market crisis the next "knock" for global markets? |
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| So Where Should We Buy Our Equities
| | Charles on why US equity markets will continue to outperform global markets |
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| Measuring US Earnings
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| The Riksbank's First Monetary Policy Error?
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| Why Do P/Es Vary Structurally?
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